Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 6.530450 7.608357 8.773473 10.122173 11.635931 13.278025 15.189457
2026-01-25 4.872913 6.261294 7.879746 9.889310 12.299960 15.080653 18.511380
2026-02-01 3.848262 5.345850 7.198004 9.623916 12.681158 16.367923 21.107678
2026-02-08 3.130827 4.659836 6.650943 9.380311 12.964508 17.446842 23.403534
2026-02-15 2.564693 4.072760 6.132781 9.075855 13.085229 18.261930 25.341503
2026-02-22 2.235969 3.760099 5.930853 9.144147 13.659457 19.646402 28.029459
2026-03-01 1.957150 3.477021 5.729119 9.175006 14.157154 20.924494 30.603355
2026-03-08 1.735683 3.248753 5.575774 9.247106 14.695293 22.258889 33.283938
2026-03-15 1.533048 3.021450 5.395426 9.253227 15.122011 23.438893 35.779138
2026-03-22 1.411798 2.912929 5.385076 9.506773 15.911946 25.149089 39.061557
2026-03-29 1.293971 2.793954 5.343137 9.700421 16.611675 26.746140 42.227994
2026-04-05 1.162803 2.632772 5.213548 9.738508 17.065826 27.991556 44.919647
2026-04-12 0.992756 2.376703 4.900107 9.455547 17.007576 28.482222 46.543632
2026-04-19 0.855023 2.163336 4.638891 9.235814 17.029595 29.084365 48.342511
2026-04-26 0.732000 1.960475 4.374200 8.984904 16.977995 29.559406 49.952124
2026-05-03 0.628135 1.781479 4.134123 8.754643 16.939698 30.042197 51.575629
2026-05-10 0.532190 1.603396 3.875498 8.466952 16.781113 30.318254 52.876601
2026-05-17 0.482657 1.526649 3.810888 8.531476 17.226768 31.571351 55.730993
2026-05-24 0.435254 1.447084 3.731786 8.560633 17.607723 32.727252 58.459852
2026-05-31 0.396047 1.381827 3.675862 8.628762 18.057554 34.006705 61.416382
2026-06-07 0.356170 1.307542 3.592246 8.634546 18.391587 35.100249 64.099122
2026-06-14 0.336443 1.286227 3.624438 8.874170 19.162130 36.947965 68.050578
2026-06-21 0.314445 1.254520 3.629498 9.057231 19.833320 38.644589 71.794596